August 9, 2011

Alberta Darling is the second most vulnerable

That's what Craig Gilbert's numbers show.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

I wonder how she would deal with the problem in the following link.

http://www.bootsandsabers.com/index.php/weblog/permalink/wisconomics/

illusory tenant said...

Republicans in Madison balanced the state budget ...

Quite an accomplishment, considering the constitution requires it.

Mike said...

Gilbert: Five of the six districts in play Tuesday are clearly GOP-leaning in their makeup. That's no surprise. These are all Senate seats held by Republicans in a terrible GOP year (2008). The GOP advantage isn't huge. It's not big enough to make these districts "safe" for Republicans. But it's real.

Win or lose, that is the proper context for these races. Two is a victory, three shakes the earth.

gnarlytrombone said...

Quite an accomplishment

Any monkey with an abacus can divide by two.

illusory tenant said...

Come to think of it when "Republicans in Madison" spend so much time violating the constitution the occasional compliance is cause for bragging.

Anonymous said...

"But Democrats are running “uphill” in five of the six elections Tuesday, trying to capture districts that are more Republican than the state as a whole in their partisan makeup. In order to overcome that disadvantage, they have to win the turnout battle, carry independents or both."

And that, my friends, is the money quote. So, if Illy-T is correct when he stated earlier that there are few people sitting on the fence in the recalls, then those less than vulnerable Republican incumbents, unfortunately, will more than likely hold serve. My hope, and I'm sorry to say is but a faint pulse (just trying to be realistic), is that those independents who voted Walker will take out their frustrations on his minions, I mean, supporters.

illusory tenant said...

I remain mindful of the surge liberal voters demonstrated for Kloppenburg between February and April in several of the most conservative districts in the State, where her support increased by up to 15%. It wasn't isolated cases either; there were a whole load of counties involved. I've never seen anyone else mention that trend, yet it's pretty damn significant. If it can be extended only marginally today, the Dems can pull it off.

Anonymous said...

IT--I was not trying to be obtuse, just measured. Thanks for listening, as always!

illusory tenant said...

Not at all. I hear ya.

CJ said...

We all have our hopes set on the Democrats winning. Walker and the Republicans can no longer claim that they've been given a clear mandate and they know they are no longer safe regardless of the the outcome,
That in itself is worth it's weight in gold.

Brew City Brawler said...

NW MKE could be critical and from what I saw, massive ground game out there today. Turnout should definitely be higher than in Sup Court race. How much -- I don't know.

Anonymous said...

9:13 p.m.--Doesn't look good thus far...unless the precincts coming in late are heavily Democrat.

www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/127331193.html

Anonymous said...

So, a net gain of two seats. Is it truly a victory??? Not to say I was against the recalls...but let the spin begin.

cognidissidence.blogspot.com/2011/08/we-havent-hit-rock-bottom-yet.html

illusory tenant said...

When did the spin ever end? Anyway, congratulations Governor Schultz.