There were nine recall elections. Democrats won five of them. Republicans failed at unseating all three Democrats they challenged, and Democrats succeeded at unseating two Republicans. That's a defeat?
The recall election results have all but destroyed any chance of a successful recall effort against Scott Walker next year. ... It's clear the air has come out of the Democratic tires in Wisconsin.Just keep telling yourself that, I guess. I hear they're mighty fired up.
I think if I ever start a blog of my own, I should call it "Follow the logic."
ReplyDeleteNever mind this "if" business, do it.
ReplyDeleteThe Republican base is fired up, but they are being ill-served by the RPW mandarins, who seem still not to have digested how things are moving and are playing bad defense.
ReplyDeleteThe DPW and their base are working better together. Not perfectly, but better. The base feels empowered and with good reason. Just like with the Senate recalls, the Walker recall will come from the ground up. The DPW has said they want to wait a year, as if you can bank the enthusiasm and momentum. "You're at the top, time to stop!" Not going to happen.
WISGOP base can't be that fired up because their candidate in Senate District 12, where they were supposed to have a shot, averaged 10 percentage points less in the same wards than Prosser managed in April, and turnout was up yesterday considerably compared to April. That's Dem GOTV, is what that is.
ReplyDeleteYes indeed. They turned out, but we turned out more. Having participated and seen this first hand, there is a growing body of citizens in this state who are mobilizing themselves and actually enjoying the process. "Ah, nothing to do today, let's head down to Kenosha for GOTV".
ReplyDeleteThe R base is worked up, but the strategies they have been given have not been effective and they are not particularly well-organized - depending on Koch and his ilk didn't cut it in the 12th. I think that is a big part of the bluster - they are losing and know it.
Walker knew it long before last night, as evidenced by his "bipartisan" pleas.
ReplyDeleteI think if I ever start a blog of my own
ReplyDeleteYou know my door's always open.
this is interesting:
ReplyDeleteClose to half a million people voted in these nine races, with about 51% casting their votes for Democrats and 49% casting their votes for Republicans. There was less than a 7,000-vote difference between the combined vote totals for the two parties, with Democrats winning five races and Republicans winning four, . . .
http://www.jsonline.com/blogs/news/127946328.html
followed by this:
ReplyDeleteThese contests were fought on mostly GOP-friendly turf. The nine districts combined (six held by Republicans, three by Democrats) gave Republican Scott Walker 56% of the two-party vote in 2010, about three points higher than his statewide total, reflecting their overall GOP tilt. Only one of the nine was more Democratic than the state as whole based on the last governor’s race (the 32nd district held until last week by Republican Dan Kapanke).
That's what I told @TheEdShow last night, that the vote would shake out to about 50/50, which is pretty good considering 67% of them were Republican districts. Dunno if he quoted me today though.
ReplyDelete